Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.636318 0.793079 0.960596 1.151091 1.360017 1.580683 1.829926
2025-03-02 0.372802 0.574849 0.812486 1.103372 1.441985 1.817192 2.258390
2025-03-09 0.227824 0.433836 0.698099 1.040917 1.457263 1.933367 2.507273
2025-03-16 0.140577 0.341447 0.623630 1.009849 1.496097 2.066333 2.766894
2025-03-23 0.096590 0.296384 0.600130 1.033482 1.593453 2.261677 3.093112
2025-03-30 0.060175 0.249831 0.565787 1.036371 1.660101 2.416699 3.369120
2025-04-06 0.030884 0.200718 0.518508 1.015107 1.691090 2.524749 3.586295
2025-04-13 0.020176 0.186546 0.522882 1.063632 1.810838 2.740702 3.932063
2025-04-20 0.012452 0.174373 0.528106 1.111864 1.929271 2.954505 4.275002
2025-04-27 0.007566 0.166571 0.539234 1.167783 2.057404 3.180198 4.632371
2025-05-04 0.005988 0.171504 0.573246 1.257817 2.231530 3.463955 5.060918
2025-05-11 0.003076 0.164323 0.583468 1.311386 2.356108 3.685197 5.413226
2025-05-18 0.000320 0.143406 0.567358 1.328170 2.436636 3.858745 5.717877
2025-05-25 NaN 0.104545 0.507183 1.272850 2.416730 3.904485 5.866562
2025-06-01 NaN 0.070284 0.444495 1.206401 2.376247 3.919861 5.974112
2025-06-08 NaN 0.049277 0.404478 1.172506 2.378376 3.987723 6.144525
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041954 0.399746 1.198159 2.465720 4.166780 6.454187
2025-06-22 NaN 0.032186 0.383173 1.201263 2.519269 4.300794 6.706831
2025-06-29 NaN 0.020875 0.353684 1.178258 2.532746 4.380703 6.890362
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019820 0.364801 1.230743 2.658851 4.610910 7.264898
2025-07-13 NaN 0.018807 0.375716 1.282830 2.784456 4.840624 7.639066
2025-07-20 NaN 0.018704 0.390881 1.343119 2.922572 5.087315 8.035142
2025-07-27 NaN 0.022441 0.425018 1.439990 3.116106 5.408597 8.526583